Here is how the GUARDIAN predicts the election results. You can all either bow or laugh a week from today. We did not pick the legislative races.
The real vote is the IRAQ WAR and control of the U.S. Congress and Senate. Like it or not, much of America will be voicing their opinions of the Bush administration as they go to the polls in local elections. Republicans are scrambling and the Demos smell blood.
Ironically, this great democracy brings out the worst in those who wish to rule us. Honest takes a backseat to expediency.
The following list is not an indicator of how we vote and is not an endorsement for any candidate or issue:
IDAHO GUV–Brady will squeak through and take the race. The shift in demographics is demanding more specifics and less hearty good fellow.
LT. GUV–Risch has it pretty well sewed up, especially outside Ada County. LaRocco was gone a long time and will be perceived as a “new guy” trying to get in line. Weird race with the Guv. running for Lt. Guv!
1ST DIST CONGRESS–Grant will slip through in a close race as thinking Republicans quietly admit they can’t go with dogma espoused by Sali.
2nd DIST CONGRESS–Simpson has it sewed up despite the Hansen pledge to stay away from big business and PACS. Simpson hasn’t screwed up enough to get ousted.
ADA COMMISH–Tilman over Ames. Ames offers a pompous demeanor and just doesn’t communicate well. In the three way with Kimball, Ullman, and Woods we pick Ullman in a close run with Woods. She has name, Woods has money, and Kimball was elected as protest against Peavey-Derr in primary.
PROP 1–School issue is a dead heat, but will probably go down because it lacks specific funding and Risch cut them off at the knees with the sales tax increase.
PROP 2–Eminent domain is a red herring. Most candidates and informed voters see it as a chance for developers to tie up the courts. There really is no issue and all stripes in the political spectrum see it.
MARRIAGE DEFINITION–The constitutional amendment will probably fail. Again, the shifting demographic is more diverse and tolerant. There is a sentiment to keep government out of the bedroom.
Take the time to learn where to vote and remind your friends and neighbors as well. Also, offer to take someone to the polls as you go to vote for the candidate of your choice.
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